Browsing by Author "Florez-Garcia, Wilmer"
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Item Open Access Determinants of credit risk: a multiple linear regression analysis of Peruvian municipal savings banks(Growing Science, 2022) Calderon-Contreras, Valentín J.; Ostos, J.; Florez-Garcia, Wilmer; Angulo-Bustinza, Harold D.In order to identify the determinants that influence the credit risk of Peruvian municipal savings banks, this quantitative research uses a nonexperimental design and a longitudinal sample to analyze monthly data corresponding to macroeconomic variables and microfinance institutions’ internal variables from 2011 to 2020. Using multiple linear regression, the results show that the interest rate, unemployment rate, and liquidity ratio positively influence the credit risk of Peruvian municipal savings banks; the study also shows that gross domestic product, efficiency of administrative expenses, solvency, and coverage of provisions exert a negative influence on credit risk. It is concluded that seven of the eight independent variables studied influence the credit risk of Peruvian municipal savings banks; only the inflation variable does not significantly influence credit risk.Item Open Access Determinants of inclusive economic growth in Latin America(WSEAS, 2023-05-19) Angulo-Bustinza, Harold; Florez-Garcia, Wilmer; Calderon-Contreras, Valentín; Peña-Cobeñas, Dagoberto; Barrientos-Moscoso, Madeley; Zeballos-Ponce, ValeriaThe work aims to identify the determinants that influence inclusive economic growth in Latin America. The study’s methodology is quantitative with a nonexperimental design, for whose effect analysis was developed through a panel data model to identify the determinant variables of inclusive economic growth. Annual data of the main macroeconomic and social variables were used for a sample of 14 Latin American countries (Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, El Salvador, Honduras, Mexico, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, and Uruguay); the study horizon comprises 25 years, between 1995 and 2019. The following variables were found to have a direct influence on inclusive economic growth: public spending and international trade; the study also showed that inflation, unemployment, and the presence of crises have a negative impact on inclusive economic growth. Moreover, an additional public expenditure of 1% implies an increase of 0.100% in inclusive economic growth, and for each positive variation of 1% in international trade, inclusive economic growth responds with an increase of 0.144%.Item Open Access Peru-China international trade and its effect on inclusive economic growth in Peru 2000-2019(Growing Science, 2022-08-27) Angulo-Bustinza, Harold D.; Arce-Larrea, Glenn R.; Calderon-Contreras, Valentín J.; Florez-Garcia, WilmerFrom 2000 to 2019, trade between the People's Republic of China and the Republic of Peru grew at an average annual rate of 22%, however, income and wealth inequality in Peru remained the same. The aim of this study is to understand the effect of trade between Peru and China on the inclusive economic growth of Peru from 2000 to 2019. The method used was the correlation of variables, and a linear regression between Peru and China trade and several indicators of inclusive economic growth in the Peruvian economy was performed using the Ordinary Least Squares model. The results suggest that there is sufficient statistical evidence to support that inclusive economic growth may depend on increased trade between Peru and China; the study show that if trade growth between Peru and China fluctuates by $1 million per year, labor income will increase by $10.3 per capita in the Economically Active Population (EAP). Moreover, for every 1% increase in trade between Peru and China, GDP per capita increases by 0.1057% and labor productivity increases by 0.0681740%. The variables poverty, vulnerable employment, GINI index and life expectancy at birth were not significant factors.